{"product_id":"ieej-zt156084","title":"Study on Day-ahead and Hour-ahead Forecasts of Insolation in Tsukuba","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eカテゴリ: \u003c\/strong\u003e全国大会\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e論文No: \u003c\/strong\u003e6-084\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eグループ名: \u003c\/strong\u003e【全国大会】平成27年電気学会全国大会論文集\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e発行日: \u003c\/strong\u003e2015\/03\/05\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eタイトル(英語): \u003c\/strong\u003eStudy on Day-ahead and Hour-ahead Forecasts of Insolation in Tsukuba\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e著者名: \u003c\/strong\u003eガリダシルバフォンセカジュニア ジョアン(東京大学),大関 崇(産業技術総合研究所),大竹 秀明(産業技術総合研究所),荻本 和彦(東京大学)\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e著者名(英語): \u003c\/strong\u003eJoao Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior(University of Tokyo),Takashi Oozeki(AIST),Hideaki Ohtake(AIST),Kazuhiko Ogimoto(University of Tokyo)\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eキーワード: \u003c\/strong\u003e日射量予測|機会学習|気象数値予報|短時間予測\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e要約(日本語): \u003c\/strong\u003eForecasts of insolation have a wide range of applications. With the dissemination of photovoltaic, PV, systems such forecasts also becoming important in the renewable energy field. In previous studies we developed a method to forecast hourly insolation, one-day ahead of time. Currently, we are modifying the proposed method to apply it in the problem of hour-ahead forecast of insolation. In this short-communication we present a method to forecast insolation one hour ahead of time, and we evaluate its performance with 1 year of data of Tsukuba city. Finally, we discuss the accuracy of the forecasts and the error reduction that occurs when changing the forecast horizon from 1 day ahead to 1 hour ahead of time.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e原稿種別: \u003c\/strong\u003e英語\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003ePDFファイルサイズ: \u003c\/strong\u003e461 Kバイト\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"IEEJ-PDF","offers":[{"title":"PDFダウンロード（一般価格440円\/会員価格220円） \/ A4 \/ 2","offer_id":46400321224943,"sku":"IEEJ-ZT156084-PDF","price":440.0,"currency_code":"JPY","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0718\/9512\/2159\/files\/IEEJ-PDF_66dcec40-7a71-4317-b0a5-c490a991ee24.png?v=1744923020","url":"https:\/\/ieej.bookpark.ne.jp\/products\/ieej-zt156084","provider":"電気学会 電子図書館","version":"1.0","type":"link"}