{"product_id":"ieej-zt197011","title":"Initial Evaluations of the Performance of an Enhanced Model to Forecast Day-ahead Solar Irradiation","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eカテゴリ: \u003c\/strong\u003e全国大会\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e論文No: \u003c\/strong\u003e14-15\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eグループ名: \u003c\/strong\u003e【全国大会】平成31年電気学会全国大会論文集\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e発行日: \u003c\/strong\u003e2019\/03\/01\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eタイトル(英語): \u003c\/strong\u003eInitial Evaluations of the Performance of an Enhanced Model to Forecast Day-ahead Solar Irradiation\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e著者名: \u003c\/strong\u003eJoao Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior(University of Tokyo),Fumichika Uno(AIST),Hideaki Ohtake(AIST),Takashi Oozeki(AIST),Kazuhiko Ogimoto(University of Tokyo)\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e著者名(英語): \u003c\/strong\u003eJoao Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior,Fumichika Uno,Hideaki Ohtake,Takashi Oozeki,Kazuhiko Ogimoto\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003eキーワード: \u003c\/strong\u003e日射量,翌日予測,太陽光発電,予測誤差の改善\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e要約(日本語): \u003c\/strong\u003eThe objective of this study is to present initial evaluations regarding 3 modifications regarding input variables and training data, to improve day-ahead forecasts of solar irradiation. To do that the modified forecast model was compared with a reference one and with the JMA MSM solar irradiation forecasts. The forecasts targeted Kyushu area for the period of 1 year (hourly data). The results show that the modified model reduced annual mean errors by approximately 4% compared with the reference model. Regarding the JMA forecasts, the modified model had 27% higher skill score in regional scale.\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e本誌掲載ページ: \u003c\/strong\u003e7-011 p\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cstrong\u003e原稿種別: \u003c\/strong\u003e英語\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"IEEJ-PDF","offers":[{"title":"PDFダウンロード（一般価格440円\/会員価格220円） \/ A4 \/ 2","offer_id":46401806860527,"sku":"IEEJ-ZT197011-PDF","price":440.0,"currency_code":"JPY","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0718\/9512\/2159\/files\/IEEJ-PDF_f85bc9ac-2a51-4e4b-ae75-1ab264c34cfa.png?v=1744957360","url":"https:\/\/ieej.bookpark.ne.jp\/products\/ieej-zt197011","provider":"電気学会 電子図書館","version":"1.0","type":"link"}