翌日予測を用いる太陽光発電出力制御の評価における2つの予測の精度の比較について

カテゴリ: 部門大会

論文No: 108

グループ名: 【B】平成30年電気学会電力・エネルギー部門大会

発行日: 2018/09/12

タイトル(英語): PV Curtailment based on Day-Ahead Forecasts: A Comparison of 2 Forecast Accuracies

著者名: Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior(東京大学),西辻 裕紀(東京大学),宇田川 佑介(東京大学),大関 崇(産業技術総合研究所),荻本 和彦(東京大学)

著者名(英語): Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior|Yuki Nishitsuji|Yusuke Udagawa|Takashi Oozeki|Kazuhiko Ogimoto

キーワード: 太陽光発電|前日広域予測|出力抑制|電力系統運用,Photovoltaic Power Generation,Day-ahead Regional Forecasts,Curtailment of Generation,Power Grid Operation

要約(日本語): In Japan, curtailment is being regarded as short-term measure to deal with the lack of power grid flexibility to receive meaningful amounts of photovoltaic, PV, power generation. Among several measures, the use of day-ahead forecasting of PV power is expected to have an important role in the proper implementation and execution of curtailment of PV. In this study, we evaluate how 2 forecasts with different levels of accuracy affect the planning and execution of curtailment in regional scale. To do that, we used 1 year of data of Kanto region in a scenario of high penetration of PV power.

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