風力発電出力予測システムの開発と運用状況

カテゴリ: 論文誌(論文単位)

グループ名: 【B】電力・エネルギー部門

発行日: 2013/04/01

タイトル(英語): Development and Operational Status of Wind Power Forecasting System

著者名: 青木　功（伊藤忠テクノソリューションズ（株）科学システム事業部），谷川　亮一（伊藤忠テクノソリューションズ（株）科学システム事業部），早崎　宣之（伊藤忠テクノソリューションズ（株）科学システム事業部），松本　光裕（東北電力（株）電力流通本部電力システム部），榎本　重朗（東北電力（株）研究開発センター）

著者名(英語): Isao Aoki (Science & Engineering Systems Division, ITOCHU Techino-Solutions Corporation), Ryoichi Tanikawa (Science & Engineering Systems Division, ITOCHU Techino-Solutions Corporation), Nobuyuki Hayasaki (Science & Engineering Systems Division, ITOCHU Techino-Solutions Corporation), Mitsuhiro Matsumoto (Power System Engineering Dept., Tohoku Electric Power Co., Inc.), Shigero Enomoto (Research and Development Center, Tohoku Electric Power Co., Inc.)

キーワード: 風力，予測システム，電力系統運用，非線形統計モデル　　wind power，forecasting system，grid operation，nonlinear statistical model

要約(英語): Until now, Itochu Techno-Solutions Corporation (CTC) and Tohoku Electric Power Co., Inc. have developed the system which predicts the wind power output in the control area of electric power system in order to contribute to demand and supply control of the power system. The official operation of the system has been started after experimental operation during three years. Currently, the forecast information is used as reference information for the electric power system operation in Tohoku Electric Power Co., Inc. In this paper, we describe the outline, operational status and forecast accuracy of the system. We verified stable operation of the system and forecast accuracy that is about 8% (Intraday forecast) and 10% (Day ahead forecast) by RMSE during experimental and official operation.

本誌: 電気学会論文誌B（電力・エネルギー部門誌） Vol.133 No.4 （2013） 特集：スマートグリッド実現に向けた電力系統技術

本誌掲載ページ: 366-372 p

原稿種別: 論文／日本語

電子版へのリンク: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ieejpes/133/4/133_366/_article/-char/ja/