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再生可能エネルギー発電の大量導入と供給信頼度を考慮した電源開発計画

再生可能エネルギー発電の大量導入と供給信頼度を考慮した電源開発計画

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カテゴリ: 論文誌(論文単位)

グループ名: 【B】電力・エネルギー部門

発行日: 2013/06/01

タイトル(英語): Generation Expansion Planning Considering Mass Penetration of Renewable Energy Generation and Supply Reliability

著者名: 真鍋 勇介(北海道大学情報科学研究科),原 亮一(北海道大学情報科学研究科),北 裕幸(北海道大学情報科学研究科)

著者名(英語): Yusuke Manabe (Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, Hokkaido University), Ryoichi Hara (Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, Hokkaido University), Hiroyuki Kita (Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, Hokkaido University)

キーワード: 電源開発計画,再生可能エネルギー,信頼度評価,不確実性,確率的動的計画法  generation expansion planning,renewable energy,reliability assessment,uncertainty,stochastic dynamic programming

要約(英語): In the future, renewable energy (RE) generation systems will be constructed and interconnected to the power system by the non-utility entities such as generation companies and residential customers. Therefore, the generation expansion planning (GEP) should consider the effects of RE generations. The purpose of this paper is to discuss the best GEP from economic, supply reliability and environmental aspects considering penetration of RE generations. For this purpose, this paper proposes a model of utility's GEP process considering the RE generations. The proposed method is based on the stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) in which the long-term uncertainties are modeled by the geometric Brownian motion (GBM) and the binomial lattice process. Furthermore, the variation of RE generation output due to the weather condition (short-term uncertainty) is also considered in the proposed method by means of the net load curve.

本誌: 電気学会論文誌B(電力・エネルギー部門誌) Vol.133 No.6 (2013) 特集:電力インフラと電気自動車の融合

本誌掲載ページ: 505-514 p

原稿種別: 論文/日本語

電子版へのリンク: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ieejpes/133/6/133_505/_article/-char/ja/

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