間欠性電源のkW価値を評価する確率的手法

カテゴリ: 論文誌(論文単位)

グループ名: 【B】電力・エネルギー部門

発行日: 2014/01/01

タイトル(英語): Probabilistic Approach for Evaluating the Capacity Value of Intermittent Generation

著者名: 千田　卓二（東北電力（株）），斎藤　浩海（東北大学），豊田　淳一（東北大学）

著者名(英語): Takuji Chida (Tohoku Electric Power Company), Hiroumi Saitoh (Touhoku University), Junichi Toyoda (Touhoku University)

キーワード: 間欠性電源，再生可能エネルギー電源，kW価値，確率的手法，ELCC　　intermittent generation，renewable energy source，capacity value，probabilistic approach，ELCC

要約(英語): The several approaches have been proposed for evaluating the capacity value of intermittent generation by now. In this paper, we assume the uncertainty included in the demand, the existing generation and the intermittent generation, can be treated through the normal distribution model. By using the newly developed approximating method similar to the Garver approximation, and the Z-stochastic approach, the ELCC (effective load carrying capability) method is comprehensively surveyed. The percentile method adopting in the higher demand level is also discussed concerning the probabilistic property of the intermittent generation. Numerical examples and the simulation for illustrating the probabilistic approach are included.

本誌: 電気学会論文誌B（電力・エネルギー部門誌） Vol.134 No.1 （2014） 特集：平成25年電力・エネルギー部門大会

本誌掲載ページ: 16-23 p

原稿種別: 論文／日本語

電子版へのリンク: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ieejpes/134/1/134_16/_article/-char/ja/