全国の電力基幹系統を考慮した最適電源構成モデルの開発と太陽光・風力発電大量導入に関する分析

カテゴリ: 論文誌(論文単位)

グループ名: 【B】電力・エネルギー部門

発行日: 2016/12/01

タイトル(英語): Optimal Power Generation Mix Model considering Nationwide High-voltage Power Grid in Japan for the Analysis of Large-scale Integration of PV and Wind Power Generation

著者名: 杉山　達彦（東京大学大学院工学系研究科原子力国際専攻），小宮山　涼一（東京大学大学院工学系研究科附属レジリエンス工学研究センター），藤井　康正（東京大学大学院工学系研究科原子力国際専攻）

著者名(英語): Tatsuhiko Sugiyama (School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo), Ryoichi Komiyama (School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo), Yasumasa Fujii (School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo)

キーワード: 電力系統，電力潮流，太陽光発電，風力発電，最適化　　power grid，electric power flow，solar photovoltaic，wind power，optimization

要約(英語): This paper develops an optimal power generation mix model considering nationwide high-voltage power grid in Japan and aims to analyze the massive deployment of variable renewable (VR) such as PV and wind. The model is developed on the basis of linear programming and includes 200 million constraints and 100 million endogenous variables. The highlight of the model consists in the detailed geographical resolution derived from 135 nodes and 166 high-voltage lines and in the detailed temporal resolution derived from 10 minutes in a whole year. As energy storage technology, the model explicitly incorporates the possible deployment of sodium-sulfur battery and Li-ion battery as well as pumped-storage hydro power plants. Active power flow of the grid is considered through a direct current (DC) method. Simulated results reveal that the considerable deployment of PV and wind does not necessarily require the large-scale installation of rechargeable battery, because the intermittency of PV and wind is controlled by the inter-regional power flow exchange, the flexible operation of ramp generators and pumped-storage hydro and the utilization of VR output curtailments. In Hokkaido area where a large installable potential of wind power is expected, the time interval when a system non-synchronous penetration (SNSP) ratio exhibits more than 50 percent amounts to 1320 hours per annum, implying the requirement of advanced grid operation for the sake of power system security.

本誌: 電気学会論文誌B（電力・エネルギー部門誌） Vol.136 No.12 （2016）

本誌掲載ページ: 864-875 p

原稿種別: 論文／日本語

電子版へのリンク: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ieejpes/136/12/136_864/_article/-char/ja/