出力予測を考慮した発電機起動停止計画モデルによる太陽光発電出力制御必要量の分析

カテゴリ: 論文誌(論文単位)

グループ名: 【B】電力・エネルギー部門

発行日: 2017/07/01

タイトル(英語): Analysis of Photovoltaic Power Yield Curtailment in Day-ahead Unit Commitment

著者名: 宇田川　佑介（東京大学 生産技術研究所／（株）構造計画研究所），西辻　裕紀（東京大学 生産技術研究所／（株）構造計画研究所），荻本　和彦（東京大学 生産技術研究所），Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca　Junior（東京大学 生産技術研究所），大竹　秀明（（独）産業技術総合研究所），大関　崇（（独）産業技術総合研究所），池上　貴志（東京農工大学），福留　潔（（株）JPビジネスサービス）

著者名(英語): Yusuke Udagawa (Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo/KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.), Yuki Nishitsuji (Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo/KOZO KEIKAKU ENGINEERING Inc.), Kazuhiko Ogimoto (Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo), Joao Gari da Silva Fonseca Junior (Institute of Industrial Science, The University of Tokyo), Hideaki Ohtake (The National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology), Takashi Oozeki (The National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology), Takashi Ikegami (Tokyo University of Agriculture and Technology), Suguru Fukutome (JP Business Service Corporation)

キーワード: 起動停止計画，需給運用，太陽光発電，抑制，予測精度，予測誤差　　unit commitment problem，supply-demand balance，photovoltaics，curtailment，prediction accuracy，prediction error

要約(英語): High penetration of variable renewable energy (VRE) systems will impact power system operations because generation of VRE systems depends on weather conditions. We analyzed the operational situation and photovoltaic power yield curtailment for the Tokyo Electric Power Company area in 2030 using day-ahead unit commitment (UC) model when a high penetration of VRE systems is expected. At first, we updated our UC model to optimize PV curtailment keeping power system's security (load frequency control reserve) and minimizing operational cost. Using the updated model, we found that in case of 53GW and 100GW of PV penetration, around 0.34% and 4.83% of PV curtailment would be required throughout the year. High curtailment rate would be required only in spring and autumn seasons when power demand is small and PV yield is large. Regarding the other seasons, high curtailment rate would not be needed in any of the high PV penetration scenarios.

本誌: 電気学会論文誌B（電力・エネルギー部門誌） Vol.137 No.7 （2017）

本誌掲載ページ: 520-529 p

原稿種別: 論文／日本語

電子版へのリンク: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ieejpes/137/7/137_520/_article/-char/ja/