エネルギー部門を詳細化した動学的多部門エネルギー経済モデルの開発と2050年に向けた日本の最適電源構成の検討

カテゴリ: 論文誌(論文単位)

グループ名: 【B】電力・エネルギー部門

発行日: 2019/07/01

タイトル(英語): Development of Dynamic Multi-sector Energy Economic Model Elaborating Energy Sectors and Suggestions for Optimum Power Generation Mix in Japan in 2050

著者名: 磯貝　基（東京大学大学院工学系研究科原子力国際専攻），小宮山　涼一（東京大学大学院工学系研究科原子力国際専攻），藤井　康正（東京大学大学院工学系研究科原子力国際専攻）

著者名(英語): Motoi Isogai (School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo), Ryoichi Komiyama (School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo), Yasumasa Fujii (School of Engineering, The University of Tokyo)

キーワード: エネルギー経済モデル，一般均衡モデル，エネルギーシステム，最適電源構成，GDP，二酸化炭素税　　energy economic model，general equilibrium model，energy system，optimal power generation mix，GDP，carbon tax

要約(英語): This paper presents the progress of an energy economic model, named Dynamic Multi-Sector Energy Economic model (DMSEE) and suggests optimum power generation mix in Japan in 2050. This model is based on general equilibrium models maximizing utility function of consumptions, and elaborates electricity sector of energy sectors with very high time resolution. Therefore, this model is able to suggest the best solutions from both energy and economic viewpoints with considering relationship between them. According to calculation results, nuclear power, solar PV (Photovoltaics) and storage equipment play an important role for sustainable energy supply and reduction of carbon dioxide (CO2). And, although increases of investment for such technology prompt growth of economy, social utility declines. Therefore, we need to be careful to introduce policy such as CO2 emissions tax.

本誌: 電気学会論文誌B（電力・エネルギー部門誌） Vol.139 No.7 （2019）

本誌掲載ページ: 461-469 p

原稿種別: 論文／日本語

電子版へのリンク: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ieejpes/139/7/139_461/_article/-char/ja/