需要家の停電価値を考慮した供給信頼度の経済的な決定方法の検討

カテゴリ: 論文誌(論文単位)

グループ名: 【B】電力・エネルギー部門

発行日: 2024/02/01

タイトル(英語): Supply Reliability Evaluation Considering Value of Lost Load derived from Customers' Perspectives

著者名: 橋本　篤樹（東京電力ホールディングス（株）），五十川　大也（大阪公立大学），大橋　弘（東京大学），野田　昇吾（東京電力ホールディングス（株）），山下　武健志（東京電力ホールディングス（株）），木畑　英記（東京電力ホールディングス（株）），穴井　徳成（東京電力ホールディングス（株））

著者名(英語): Atsuki Hashimoto (Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.), Daiya Isogawa (Osaka Metropolitan University), Hiroshi Ohashi (The University of Tokyo), Shogo Noda (Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.), Takeshi Yamashita (Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.), Hideki Kibata (Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.), Tokunari Anai (Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings, Inc.)

キーワード: 容量市場，供給信頼度，停電価値（VoLL），顕示選好法 capacity market，supply reliability，Value of Lost Load (VoLL)，revealed preference method

要約(英語): Capacity market in Japan currently determines VoLL (Value of Lost Load) substantially and uniformly using reference procurement cost and target supply reliability, and can be regarded to be derived from a supplier's perspective. However, as seen in transactions of demand response (DR) in power markets, compensations of demand adjustment vary among DR suppliers. Therefore, deriving VoLL from customers' perspectives shall be more in line with reality.This paper proposes a unique method to quantitatively assume VoLL of 12 industries based on revealed preference approach using actual energy consumption data of customers of each industries. This paper also proposes a new method to economically determine the amount of capacity procurement and the different levels of supply reliability of each customers, considering the variation of VoLL among customers and also the congestions of interconnectors.Clarifying the supply reliability of customers not only encourages them to proactively introduce measures, but is also effective for paradigm changing to secure stable power supply reflecting both supplier and customer perspectives.

本誌: 電気学会論文誌B（電力・エネルギー部門誌） Vol.144 No.2 （2024） 特集：令和5年電力・エネルギー部門大会

本誌掲載ページ: 79-90 p

原稿種別: 論文／日本語

電子版へのリンク: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ieejpes/144/2/144_79/_article/-char/ja/