New Method for Assessing Prediction Error of Wind Power Generation -- Discrimination between Phase and Amplitude Errors --

カテゴリ: 全国大会

論文No: 6-249

グループ名: 【全国大会】平成29年電気学会全国大会論文集

発行日: 2017/03/05

タイトル(英語): New Method for Assessing Prediction Error of Wind Power Generation -- Discrimination between Phase and Amplitude Errors --

著者名: Pattarawut Charatpangoon(東京工業大学),Toshiya Nanahara(東京工業大学),Kenichi Kawabe(東京工業大学)

著者名(英語): Pattarawut Charatpangoon(Tokyo Institute of Technology),Toshiya Nanahara(Tokyo Institute of Technology),Kawabe Kenichi(Tokyo Institute of Technology)

キーワード: 予測誤差|風力発電|評価方法|振幅|位相|モーメント

要約(日本語): Renewable energy sources (RES), such as wind and solar power, play a big role in a recent power system. Although the main stream research has been focusing on power prediction methods, not so many researchers have examined prediction errors. However, their impacts on a power system largely depend on their error characteristics. The indicators such as RMSE (root mean square error) are used for assessing its error, but it only gives a measure for the scale of errors.This paper newly proposes an error evaluation method for a wind power generation. The proposed method can identify the phase and amplitude errors in prediction errors. The performance of the proposed method is analyzed with artificial and real data.

原稿種別: 英語

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