混合経路の存在を考慮した幹線鉄道の需要シミュレーション

カテゴリ: 論文誌(論文単位)

グループ名: 【D】産業応用部門

発行日: 2015/04/01

タイトル(英語): Demand Simulation of Inter-Regional Railway Passengers Considering Multi-Mode Route Alternatives

著者名: 柴田　宗典（University of Cambridge），鈴木　崇正（公益財団法人鉄道総合技術研究所），奥田　大樹（公益財団法人鉄道総合技術研究所）

著者名(英語): Munenori Shibata (University of Cambridge), Takamasa Suzuki (Railway Technical Research Institute), Daiki Okuda (Railway Technical Research Institute)

キーワード: 都市間幹線交通，混合経路，経路選択行動，経路重複問題　　inter-regional transport，multi-mode route alternatives，route choice behavior，route overlapping problem

要約(英語): This study attempts to develop a method for inter-regional train demand estimation considering multi-mode route alternatives. A special effort is made to avoid the path overlapping problem when using logit-type route choice models by adopting the C-logit type model. The characteristics of route choice behavior among multi-mode and single-mode routes are indicated on the basis of the original questionnaire survey data to reveal factors that apply to multi-mode route choice. On the basis of these factors, the modified C-logit type route choice model is applied to route choice behavior of inter-regional passengers to take path overlapping problems in a multi-mode inter-regional transportation network into account. Compared to the classic logit-type model, the developed model has a better performance, a conclusion drawn on the basis of AIC (Akaike's information criterion) and the adjusted likelihood ratio. A sample demand simulation is then conducted to demonstrate how the developed model can be applied in practice. The result indicates that the developed model successfully estimated route choice behavior in a multi-mode inter-regional transportation network.

本誌: 電気学会論文誌D（産業応用部門誌） Vol.135 No.4 （2015） 特集：J-RAIL 2013

本誌掲載ページ: 322-326 p

原稿種別: 論文／日本語

電子版へのリンク: https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/ieejias/135/4/135_322/_article/-char/ja/